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It's Christmas in America: The President is home alone in the White House, ranting at his foes inside and outside; an administration lurching deeper into crisis; stock markets are in free fall and the government is paralyzed by a partial shutdown.

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The countdown to Christmas is on! A week to go. Are you hoping or dreaming of a white Christmas? I know I am but I’m not that hopeful as I look over the data on Monday, December 17th. Here are a few things that I’ve noticed as I’ve analyzed the data the last few days.