4:45 Update: What a nice day it has been! As we anticipated, highs reached well into the 40s and low-50s today, making for a fabulous Saturday afternoon. I am sure you have noticed the patchy cloudiness has become more pronounced; they are part of a cold front that will swing through the state late tonight and early tomorrow morning. In addition to clouds, the models continue to insist a few snow showers may also come. We would not get more than a light coating in some towns due to these showers. Tomorrow will be ten degrees colder than today -- with partly sunny skies.
Today will be the mildest day of the month so far. That isn't saying very much since the highest temperature up to yesterday has been 37 degrees, which is 13.5 degrees below average. In contrast, we expect above-average highs in the 40s with a shot at 50 degrees in southern portions of the state today. Sunshine will mix with some clouds during the afternoon as a cold front approaches from the north. The front could stir up a few flurries or snow showers tonight and early Sunday morning. Plus, it will put the brakes on our brief warming trend.
Sunday will feature plenty of sunshine, but it'll feel like winter again with a chilly northwesterly breeze. Highs will be in the 30s to near 40 degrees.
A warm front will pass through Southern New England on Monday and it could bring a few flurries or snow showers. A dusting or coating of snow is possible in some locations, especially over Northern Connecticut and Massachusetts. Temperatures will top out in the lower 40s Monday afternoon under partly to mostly cloudy skies. By Tuesday, we can look forward to another nice rebound. We have another shot at 50 degrees, perhaps even higher!
By midweek, cold high pressure will build southward out of central Canada and it will push colder air southward across all of New England. At the same time, a storm system will take aim at us from the west or southwest. It now looks like precipitation will arrive Wednesday afternoon and it will continue Wednesday night into Thursday morning. The type of precipitation is still in question since the computer guidance models are at odds when it comes to the storm track. The European model brings the storm center very close to Southern New England and therefore is the warmer solution with a wintry mix and rain. The GFS has a more southerly track and is therefore the colder model. The GFS is forecasting all snow with a moderate snowfall possible. At this point, we are leaning toward the colder solution given the strength of high pressure to our north. Since the storm is still 5 days away, we won't get too specific at this point in time. Many things could change and they usually do!
Don't forget to turn your clocks ahead 1 hour when you go to bed Saturday night! Yes, this is the weekend we "spring forward" to daylight saving time! Officially DST begins Sunday morning at 2:00 am. Sunrise will occur at 7:13 Sunday morning and it will set nice and late at 6:50 Sunday evening. This is also a good time to change the batteries in your smoke detectors to make sure they are working properly throughout the spring and summer seasons.
On the downside, we will lose 1 hour this weekend and Monday will arrive a little too early.
Enjoy your weekend!
Meteorologist Mike Cameron and Chief Meteorologist Bruce DePrest