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Technical Discussion


Good Wednesday evening! 


***A FIRE WEATHER WATCH has been issued for Litchfield, Fairfield, New Haven, Middlesex, and New London Counties for Thursday*** 


10pm update:

Northwesterly winds are gusting to between 20 and 30 mph at this hour and temperatures are mainly in the 40s statewide.  Sky conditions vary from partly cloudy to overcast and there have been a few stray sprinkles this evening.  The forecast remains on track....


Previous discussion: 

As a storm moves away to the east of New England, northwesterly winds continue to get stronger.  We'll have to deal with those gusty winds tonight and tomorrow.  Most of the state got at least some rain today and there were even a few heavy downpours.  However, brush will dry out quickly tomorrow due to the combination of strong winds and very low humidity.  Winds will gust to 40 mph, perhaps even higher.  Plus, the relative humidity will drop to 20% or lower tomorrow especially during the afternoon and early evening hours.  Therefore, the brush fire danger will rapidly increase. 

At least tomorrow will be much brighter than today.  We can look forward to mostly sunny skies. Early morning temperatures will be in the 30s and afternoon highs will be in the upper 50s and lower 60s.  Winds will quickly subside Thursday night as a ridge of high pressure moves into the Northeast.  With clear skies and diminishing winds, temperatures are expected to drop to frosty levels by dawn Friday. 

Friday will be nice with sunshine fading behind increasing cloudiness by late in the day.  Winds will be fairly light and temperatures will rise higher into the 60s.  More showers will develop Friday night as a front approaches from the west.  A cold upper level low will move into New England on Saturday and that will keep the atmosphere unstable.  Although a washout appears unlikely, there will be showers from time to time, perhaps even a few claps of thunder in the afternoon.  It'll be seasonably cool Saturday with highs in the 60s at best.  Sunday will be the better of the 2 weekend days.  By then the cold pool of air aloft will shift to the east of New England and the atmosphere will stabilize.  Sunday should feature partly sunny skies, a dry northwesterly breeze, and highs in the upper 50s and lower 60s. 

The dry weather will carry over into Monday and most of Tuesday.  However, unsettled weather will likely return by midweek and it could stick around for a couple of days.  The return to showery weather will occur as another large upper level low develops over the Eastern United States.  Showers are in the forecast for Wednesday, Thursday, and perhaps even a portion of Friday since this sprawling weather feature will be slow to move through. 


Enjoy the rest of your week! 



Chief Meteorologist Bruce DePrest

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